Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.038017 0.041296 0.044589 0.048139 0.051851 0.055612 0.059706
2025-12-07 0.033191 0.038093 0.043168 0.048794 0.054833 0.061100 0.068074
2025-12-14 0.029141 0.035187 0.041624 0.048935 0.056956 0.065443 0.075057
2025-12-21 0.026600 0.033601 0.041235 0.050084 0.059971 0.070594 0.082795
2025-12-28 0.023304 0.030859 0.039304 0.049294 0.060652 0.073037 0.087445
2026-01-04 0.021117 0.029186 0.038406 0.049509 0.062319 0.076460 0.093082
2026-01-11 0.019517 0.028060 0.038018 0.050198 0.064431 0.080307 0.099132
2026-01-18 0.018080 0.027009 0.037620 0.050788 0.066359 0.083890 0.104840
2026-01-25 0.015658 0.024567 0.035412 0.049114 0.065546 0.084253 0.106813
2026-02-01 0.014057 0.023054 0.034241 0.048597 0.066018 0.086035 0.110358
2026-02-08 0.012768 0.021856 0.033389 0.048402 0.066819 0.088157 0.114258
2026-02-15 0.012284 0.021699 0.033825 0.049772 0.069484 0.092454 0.120680
2026-02-22 0.011670 0.021350 0.034019 0.050863 0.071855 0.096463 0.126848
2026-03-01 0.010928 0.020773 0.033885 0.051522 0.073688 0.099838 0.132285
2026-03-08 0.010046 0.019937 0.033366 0.051658 0.074857 0.102406 0.136767
2026-03-15 0.009617 0.019734 0.033673 0.052841 0.077314 0.106517 0.143078
2026-03-22 0.008529 0.018463 0.032474 0.052023 0.077239 0.107550 0.145712
2026-03-29 0.007874 0.017811 0.032090 0.052245 0.078446 0.110121 0.150170
2026-04-05 0.007424 0.017450 0.032090 0.052955 0.080259 0.113420 0.155497
2026-04-12 0.006977 0.017060 0.032026 0.053565 0.081933 0.116544 0.160611
2026-04-19 0.005904 0.015538 0.030269 0.051836 0.080568 0.115898 0.161147
2026-04-26 0.005245 0.014665 0.029415 0.051302 0.080714 0.117097 0.163901
2026-05-03 0.004724 0.013988 0.028822 0.051100 0.081273 0.118795 0.167252